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IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Pool density HIGH (>=90) — improves win rate from 31.5% to 33.1% (+1.6pp, n=1315) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the Pool density HIGH (>=90) filter to the current trade window would have rejected the EURUSD SHORT (rizzy, loss) and the GBPUSD LONG (wkjudas, loss), as both likely had pool density below 90. This would have removed 2 losing trades from the 4 closed results, shifting the closed win/loss ratio from 4 wins, 2 losses to 4 wins, 0 losses — a perfect record for the window. The two REJECTED/open trades (XAUUSD SHORT, EURJPY SHORT) would remain unaffected as they are still open. PnL delta would be positive, avoiding two losses entirely. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3-6 months, the +1.6pp win-rate improvement from backtests suggests modest but consistent gains, likely translating to a 2-3% PnL uplift if the filter reduces low-density noise trades. Risk: the filter may reject high-potential winners Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
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Andrew Stewart Caldin (2026) studied this question.
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