Detection of Alteration in Carotid Artery Volumetry Using Standard-of-care Computed Tomography Surveillance Scans Following Unilateral Radiation Therapy for Early-stage Tonsillar Squamous Cell Carcinoma Survivors: A Cross-Sectional Internally-Matched Carotid Isodose Analysis

Purpose: Radiation induced carotid artery disease (RICAD) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality among survivors of oropharyngeal cancer. This study leveraged standard-of-care CT scans to detect volumetric changes in the carotid arteries of patients receiving unilateral radiotherapy (RT) for early tonsillar cancer, and to determine dose-response relationship between RT and carotid volume changes, which could serve as an early imaging marker of RICAD. Methods and Materials: Disease-free cancer survivors (>3 months since therapy and age >18 years) treated with intensity modulated RT for early (T1-2, N0-2b) tonsillar cancer with pre- and post-therapy contrast-enhanced CT scans available were included. Patients treated with definitive surgery, bilateral RT, or additional RT before the post-RT CT scan were excluded. Pre- and post-treatment CTs were registered to the planning CT and dose grid. Isodose lines from treatment plans were projected onto both scans, facilitating the delineation of carotid artery subvolumes in 5 Gy increments (i.e. received 50-55 Gy, 55-60 Gy, etc.). The percent-change in sub-volumes across each dose range was statistically examined using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Results: Among 46 patients analyzed, 72% received RT alone, 24% induction chemotherapy followed by RT, and 4% concurrent chemoradiation. The median interval from RT completion to the latest, post-RT CT scan was 43 months (IQR 32-57). A decrease in the volume of the irradiated carotid artery was observed in 78% of patients, while there was a statistically significant difference in mean %-change (±SD) between the total irradiated and spared carotid volumes (7.0±9.0 vs. +3.5±7.2, respectively, p<.0001). However, no significant dose-response trend was observed in the carotid artery volume change withing 5 Gy ranges (mean %-changes (±SD) for the 50-55, 55-60, 60-65, and 65-70+ Gy ranges [irradiated minus spared]: -13.1±14.7, -9.8±14.9, -6.9±16.2, -11.7±11.1, respectively). Notably, two patients (4%) had a cerebrovascular accident (CVA), both occurring in patients with a greater decrease in carotid artery volume in the irradiated vs the spared side. Conclusions: Our data show that standard-of-care oncologic surveillance CT scans can effectively detect reductions in carotid volume following RT for oropharyngeal cancer. Changes were equivalent between studied dose ranges, denoting no further dose-response effect beyond 50 Gy. The clinical utility of carotid volume changes for risk stratification and CVA prediction warrants further evaluation.