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August 13, 2026Policy Studies

Different donors, different curves: comparing non-linear governance outcomes of western and Chinese aid

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KŞKaan Şener

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Overview

Comparative analysis evaluates governance effects of Western and Chinese aid in developing countries, suggesting different outcomes based on donor strategies.

Key Points

  • This research analyzes how different aid modalities affect governance in developing countries and challenges linear assumptions about these effects.
  • Utilized country-year panel data from 2000 to 2023
  • Employed quadratic models to assess governance outcomes
  • Compared Western and Chinese aid effects across multiple governance indicators
  • Western aid shows diminishing and negative governance returns as aid intensity increases.
  • Chinese aid follows a U-shaped pattern, improving governance outcomes at higher engagement levels.
  • Positive governance effects are more pronounced in countries with higher absorptive capacity.

Cite This Study

Kaan Şener (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a7d76792b0e0cff3f63fc3dhttps://doi.org/10.1080/01442872.2026.2713543
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