Pengaruh Inflasi, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Upah Minimum Regional, Dan Krisis Ekonomi Terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Di Indonesia

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Inflation, economic growth, regional minimum wage, previous year's unemployment, and economic crises collectively and individually affect Indonesia's open unemployment rate, though economic crises do not directly increase unemployment when mitigated by effective economic policies. Novelty: ClaimNovelty.INCREMENTAL. Consensus alignment: ConsensusAlignment.NEUTRAL.

Polma Risma Simbolon; Ernawati Barany; Azizan Muhammad; Asifa Asifa

doi:10.5281/zenodo.21897037

August 12, 2026Open Access

Pengaruh Inflasi, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Upah Minimum Regional, Dan Krisis Ekonomi Terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Di Indonesia

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Key Points

To evaluate the individual and joint effects of inflation, economic growth, regional minimum wages, prior unemployment, and economic crises on open unemployment rates in Indonesia.
Analyzed national secondary time-series data from Statistics Indonesia (BPS) and the World Bank spanning 2000 to 2023.
Conducted multiple linear regression analysis subject to classical assumption diagnostic tests.
Inflation, economic growth, regional minimum wage, prior-year unemployment, and economic crises significantly influenced open unemployment rates both simultaneously and partially from 2000 to 2023.
Economic crises did not directly exacerbate open unemployment when counterbalanced by stabilizing, effective macroeconomic policy interventions.

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Abstract

Pengangguran merupakan masalah yang kompleks yang dipengaruhi oleh berbagai indikator penentu yang berinteraksi. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengkaji faktor penentu pengangguran di Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder dari BPS dan World Bank dari tahun 2000-2023. Alat analisis menggunakan regresi linear berganda dengan syarat uji asumsi klasik. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan secara bersama-sama dan parsial inflasi, pertumbuhan ekonomi, UMR, pengangguran tahun sebelumnya, dan krisis ekonomi berpengaruh terhadap tingkat pengangguran terbuka periode 2000-2023. Krisis ekonomi di Indonesia tidak secara langsung meningkatkan pengangguran, terutama ketika diimbangi dengan kebijakan ekonomi yang efektif dapat menstabilkan tingkat pengangguran di Indonesia.

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Simbolon et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a7ec78db70b84ec8b913ea9 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21897037

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Pengaruh Inflasi, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Upah Minimum Regional, Dan Krisis Ekonomi Terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Di Indonesia

Key Points

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Abstract

Discussion

Cite This Study

Pengaruh Inflasi, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Upah Minimum Regional, Dan Krisis Ekonomi Terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Di Indonesia

Key Points

Ask about this paper

Abstract

Discussion

Cite This Study

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