Why the study?
Recent updates to the ACC/AHA high blood pressure guidelines changed the risk calculator, lowered treatment targets, and expanded treatment recommendations for lower-risk adults, leaving the clinical implications among US adults unquantified.
What is the impact of the 2025 AHA/ACC hypertension guidelines on the proportion of US adults eligible for initiation and intensification of blood pressure-lowering medications compared to the 2017 guidelines?
What is the impact of the 2025 AHA/ACC hypertension guidelines on the proportion of US adults eligible for initiation and intensification of blood pressure-lowering medications compared to the 2017 guidelines?
The implementation of the 2025 AHA/ACC hypertension guidelines will significantly expand the number of US adults eligible for medication initiation—particularly younger adults and those with obesity if lifestyle changes fail—and substantially increase the number requiring treatment intensification to meet the new <120/80 mmHg target.
A substantially larger eligible population may require system-level planning; leaves open CV benefit of the 2025 guideline expansion.
Recent updates to the American College of Cardiology (ACC) and American Heart Association (AHA) guidelines for high blood pressure (BP) changed the risk calculator recommended, lowered the preferred treatment target, and expanded treatment recommendations for lower risk adults. We sought to quantify the clinical implications of these change among US adults. Using data from the 2015–2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), we estimated the proportion and number of US adults aged 20 years or older who were eligible for initiation or intensification of pharmacological anti-hypertensive medications under the 2017 vs the 2025 guidelines. Among US adults ≥20 years not being currently treated for hypertension ( N = 180.0 million), using the 2017 Guideline, 18.7 % (33.6 million) were eligible for initiation of pharmacological anti-hypertensive therapy. In contrast, the 2025 Guideline would treat 18.4 % (33.2 million) with upfront medication while an additional 10.8 % (19.4 million) would be considered for medications if lifestyle modification proves insufficient. Increases in treatment eligibility were most pronounced among younger adults age 30–60 and those with obesity. Among adults currently being treated for hypertension ( N = 58.0 million), most (59.8 %; 34.6 million) did not meet the recommended goal of a BP <130/80. An additional 17.6 % (5.6 million) are newly eligible for treatment intensification if pursuing the preferred BP target of <120/80. The new 2025 AHA/ACC Hypertension Guidelines potentially expands the number of adults eligible for initiation of antihypertensives, particularly in persons who are young and/or obese, and markedly expands number eligible for intensification.
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Sayed et al. (2026) studied this question.
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