Why the study?
The 2024 ESC hypertension guidelines introduced an elevated BP category with potential pharmacological treatment for persistent elevated BP and high cardiovascular risk, but the impact on treatment eligibility and long-term cardiovascular event rates was unassessed.
Does the application of the 2024 ESC hypertension guidelines for elevated blood pressure accurately identify individuals who will experience MACE over 30 years in a general population cohort?
Population
2688 individuals born in 1950 in a Norwegian general population cohort
Comparison
Eligibility for pharmacological treatment under 2024 ESC guidelines vs non-eligibility
Design
Registry-linked cohort study
Follow-up
Over 30 years
Authors
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Most MACE occurred outside 2024 ESC treatment-eligible groups; leaves open whether thresholds need refinement for long-term prediction.
Does the application of the 2024 ESC hypertension guidelines for elevated blood pressure accurately identify individuals who will experience MACE over 30 years in a general population cohort?
Applying the 2024 ESC hypertension guidelines to a 40-year-old cohort identified many with elevated BP, but the vast majority of subsequent MACE occurred in individuals who were not eligible for medical treatment under these criteria.
Ihle‐Hansen et al. (2025) studied this question.
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