Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
We present a statistical model which can be employed to understand the contagion dynamics of the COVID-19, which can heavily impact health, economics and finance. The model is a Poisson autoregression of the daily new observed cases, and can reveal whether contagion has a trend, and where is each country on that trend. Model results are exemplified from some observed series.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Agosto et al. (2020) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 10 related papers. Consider them for comparative context: