Theoretical analysis demonstrates intrinsic duration measurement in interacting systems, revealing key constraints on direction-sensitive estimators.
Can the duration a process has lived be computed from its own internal relations rather than read off an external clock? Hodos Chronos, the fourth member of the Hodos family, first measured duration as arc length through a statistical manifold. That construction failed a sampling-invariance criterion, and the failure was attributed to the coastline problem. This paper shows that attribution is too broad: it is correct about arc length and is not a verdict on the question. The construction offered here takes duration to be the accumulated null-corrected relational surplus, oriented by the third moment of that surplus's own increments. Over a six-part emergence graph it clears four of five criteria fixed in advance — time-asymmetry, stillness, relation-sensitivity and exactness — including two that a path length cannot clear even in principle. It still fails sampling invariance, which is reported rather than worked around. The route matters more than the result. Thirteen intermediate constructions traced what appeared to be a structural trade-off between registering irreversibility and measuring stillness. It was not one. It was an artifact of a single one-sided nonlinearity applied to the wrong one of two readings, and removing it dissolved the axis. The paper also reports three one-line impossibility results constraining any direction-sensitive quantity, and a false pass caught by seed-checking. Preprint, not peer reviewed. Scored by the authors' own harness, with no external reader. Every figure is re-derived from a run ledger by a checker that refuses to pass on a mismatch. v5 adds two measured sections. The estimator is oriented in its arguments and that orientation is real: on the twelve measured columns of the Pantheon+/SH0ES supernova catalogue, tau(a,b) differs from tau(b,a) on 63 of 66 pairs at 2.45× the same-direction seed floor; the two readings are treated as two sides of one relation, never combined, while the classification built on the pair's joint is direction-blind to the last digit — measured, not assumed. And the first application at scale: run over 1,701 supernovae the construction's pre-registered cosmic-time bars fail — including sampling invariance reappearing on a second, unrelated catalogue — while the structural reading that survives its controls (roughly 74% of accumulated duration lives between the groups of parts) proves direction-independent. Nothing in it is a cosmological claim.
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Alexander Parnell (2026) studied this question.
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