Why the study?
The study was conducted to validate five-year stroke risk prediction models in a contemporary rural Northern Chinese population.
Does the China-PAR stroke risk equation improve 5-year stroke risk prediction compared to the Framingham Stroke Risk Profile in a rural northern Chinese population?
Does the China-PAR stroke risk equation improve 5-year stroke risk prediction compared to the Framingham Stroke Risk Profile in a rural northern Chinese population?
The China-PAR stroke risk equations provide better 5-year stroke risk prediction than the Framingham Stroke Risk Profile in a rural northern Chinese population, particularly for men.
Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
May improve stroke risk stratification in rural Chinese men; leaves open need for external validation and outcome trials.
OBJECTIVE: To validate five-year risk prediction models for stroke in a contemporary rural Northern Chinese population. In addition, the calibration charts and plots illustrated good agreement between the observations and the predictions only in the China-PAR stroke risk equations, especially for men. CONCLUSION: In this validation cohort of rural northern Chinese adults, the China-PAR models had better performance of five-year stroke risk prediction than the FSRP, indicating that recalibrated China-PAR stroke risk equations might be appropriate tools for risk assessment and primary prevention of stroke in China.
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Tang et al. (2020) studied this question.
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