What question did this study set out to answer?

To investigate spatial patterns, driving mechanisms, and long-term future trajectories of ecosystem service supply and demand in a rapidly urbanizing mountainous region.

April 6, 2025LandOpen Access

Optimizing Ecological Management in China: Insights from Chongqing’s Service Projections

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Authors

YDYang DuanChinese Academy for Environmental Planning WWWenjun WuZhejiang International Studies University RXRufeng XiaoChongqing Academy of Environmental Science

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Implication

Spatial modeling study reveals worsening carbon deficits alongside overall supply improvements in an urbanizing mountainous region, highlighting the necessity of integrated climate mitigation.

Key Points

To investigate spatial patterns, driving mechanisms, and long-term future trajectories of ecosystem service supply and demand in a rapidly urbanizing mountainous region.
Quantified four key ecosystem services (food provision, water retention, soil conservation, and carbon fixation) using spatial and socioeconomic datasets from 2010 to 2020.
Applied geographically weighted regression modeling to assess spatially heterogeneous environmental and human drivers.
Conducted integrated climate–economy scenario projections for the period 2030–2060 under varying global development pathways.
The regional ecosystem service supply–demand ratio increased from 0.260 to 0.320, yet persistent carbon fixation deficits remained concentrated within metropolitan cores and periurban fringes.
Thermal-hydrological variables (temperature and aridity index) combined with land intensification pressures were identified as the primary constraints on regional service capacity.
Sustainable development scenario projections yielded an ecosystem service supply–demand ratio of 0.189 by 2060, outperforming conventional development pathways by 23.5% to 41.2%.

Cite This Study

Duan et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a8139b7ada1eccddc33a4d1 https://doi.org/10.3390/land14040788

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Implication

Spatial modeling study reveals worsening carbon deficits alongside overall supply improvements in an urbanizing mountainous region, highlighting the necessity of integrated climate mitigation.

Optimizing Ecological Management in China: Insights from Chongqing’s Service Projections

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

Optimizing Ecological Management in China: Insights from Chongqing’s Service Projections

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

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