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August 16, 2026Statistical Methods in Medical Research

Bayesian variable selection for joint models of heterogeneous longitudinal variables and a binary outcome

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Authors

LSLingpeng ShanMNMichelle J. NaughtonEPElectra D. Paskett

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Overview

Methodological study demonstrates robust predictor identification for post-treatment insomnia in breast cancer survivors, indicating enhanced statistical power in high-dimensional analyses.

Key Points

  • To develop structured Bayesian variable selection strategies within joint models linking high-dimensional, mixed-type longitudinal predictors to a binary health outcome.
  • Formulated two Bayesian variable selection approaches: single-level selection for the binary outcome (JM1) and simultaneous two-level selection across longitudinal trajectories and outcomes (JM2).
  • Incorporated shrinkage priors to control overfitting from high-dimensional predictors and adapted false discovery rate-based rules to evaluate multi-part models with grouped categorical variables.
  • Applied the framework to analyze clinical and lifestyle trajectories from the Women's Health Initiative and Life and Longevity After Cancer study.
  • The JM2 framework successfully performed simultaneous variable selection across longitudinal trajectories and binary outcomes while managing high-dimensional interactions.
  • The model identified a critical predictor of post-treatment insomnia in breast cancer survivors that conventional analytical approaches failed to detect.

Cite This Study

Shan et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a8179bcf2fb91fc834acfa4https://doi.org/10.1177/09622802261478572
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