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August 16, 2026Medical Decision MakingOpen Access

Enabling QALY Estimation in Mental Health Interventions: Mapping the Health of the Nation Outcome Scales onto the EQ-5D-5L

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Authors

ALAdmassu N. LamuNORCE Research ASEKEgil KjerstadNorwegian Directorate of HealthRKReinhold KilianUniversität Ulm

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Implication

Econometric mapping analysis reveals reliable prediction of EQ-5D-5L utilities from HoNOS scores in severe mental illness, indicating improved feasibility of mental health economic evaluations.

Key Points

  • To develop and validate a mapping algorithm that predicts EQ-5D-5L health utility values from Health of the Nation Outcome Scales (HoNOS) scores in adults with severe mental illness.
  • Analyzed 24-month trial data from a community mental health intervention in Germany involving >900 adults aged 18 to 82 years with severe mental illness.
  • Tested four econometric approaches—ordinary least squares, generalized linear models, fractional regression models (FRM), and adjusted limited dependent variable mixture models—validated via 10-fold cross-validation.
  • Fractional regression models performed best overall, predicting the German EQ-5D-5L value set with an RMSE of 0.2204, MAE of 0.1622, and r² of 36.5% during cross-validation.
  • Using HoNOS subscales yielded slightly lower accuracy (RMSE = 0.2245, MAE = 0.1664, r² = 34.2%), though calibration plots confirmed close alignment between observed and predicted utility values.

Cite This Study

Lamu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a8179cbf2fb91fc834ad1a1https://doi.org/10.1177/0272989x261473639
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Also Consider

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  1. 1Predictive models to estimate utility from clinical questionnaires in schizophrenia: findings from EuroSC2015 · 15 citations
  2. 2Health of the Nation Outcome Scales (HoNOS)1998 · 1,222 citations
  3. 3Calibration plots for risk prediction models in the presence of competing risks2014 · 127 citations
  4. 4Benefits of support groups for families of adults with severe mental illness.1997 · 84 citations
  5. 5Econometric methods for fractional response variables with an application to 401(k) plan participation rates1996 · 4,187 citations