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August 16, 2026Structure and Infrastructure Engineering

Risk assessment of deteriorating infrastructure in a changing climate

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Authors

YKYehuda KleinerZLZoubir LounisSMSaviz Moghtadernejad

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Overview

Methodological framework reveals failure risk dynamics in deteriorating infrastructure under climate change, indicating the necessity of coupling non-stationary hazard loads and asset resistance.

Key Points

  • To develop a generalized risk assessment approach that simultaneously accounts for non-stationary climatic hazard loads and non-stationary infrastructure deterioration.
  • Formulated a model-agnostic risk assessment framework capable of coupling time-dependent hazard loading and structural capacity degradation.
  • Employed a discretization technique applicable across qualitative, semi-quantitative, and fully quantitative asset priority levels.
  • Established an integrated method to simultaneously capture shifting climatic hazards and deteriorating resistance capacity over time.
  • Demonstrated flexible, spreadsheet-compatible implementation adaptable to assets ranging from low-priority local facilities to critical national infrastructure.

Cite This Study

Kleiner et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a817a33f2fb91fc834adf1fhttps://doi.org/10.1080/15732479.2026.2715482
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Also Consider

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