Mathematical Model for Justifying the Volumes of Engineering and Technical Measures to Minimize Damage From Natural Emergencies Considering Anthropogenic Factors

The article addresses the issue of improving the accuracy of damage forecasting from natural emergencies while taking anthropogenic factors into account. It is demonstrated that ignoring these factors leads to unreliable damage assessments and inefficient planning of protective measures. An approach is proposed that integrates meteorological and anthropogenic indicators into a unified model using a neural network. The model enables simultaneous damage forecasting and justification of the volumes of engineering and technical measures, contributing to a more rational allocation of resources and a reduction in overall losses from emergencies.