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August 19, 2026Geoscientific model developmentOpen Access

Comprehensive inter-comparison of generative AI models for super-resolution precipitation downscaling across hydroclimatic regimes

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Authors

SSShivam SinghSPSimon Michael PapalexiouHAHebatallah Abdelmoaty

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Overview

Comparative modeling study demonstrates superior spatial structure and extreme event capture with diffusion models in precipitation downscaling, highlighting trade-offs with computational cost.

Key Points

  • To systematically compare deterministic and generative deep-learning architectures for super-resolution precipitation downscaling and cross-regional generalization across distinct hydroclimatic regimes.
  • Trained Convolutional U-Net, conditional Wasserstein GAN (WGAN), and conditional Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model (DDPM) architectures on ERA5-Land precipitation fields from the US Central Plains and Northwest domains.
  • Evaluated model generalization at 8× and 16× downscaling factors over an independent Northeast test domain.
  • Assessed models across precipitation distributions, wet–dry occurrence, extremes, spatial autocorrelation, spectral structure, and ensemble-based uncertainty quantification.
  • Convolutional U-Net generated computationally efficient predictions but consistently smoothed fine-scale spatial variability and suppressed extreme precipitation events.
  • Conditional WGAN improved distributional fidelity and heavy-tail precipitation extremes with relatively low computational overhead.
  • Conditional DDPM produced the most physically coherent spatial structures and natural ensemble diversity for uncertainty quantification, at the expense of substantially higher computational cost.

Cite This Study

Singh et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a8562eb03308d306e2d5e55https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-7545-2026
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