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August 19, 2026Medical Decision MakingOpen Access

The Undertesting Bias in Clinical Decision Making: The Role of Test Dichotomization

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Authors

MMMurat C. Mungan

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Overview

Theoretical decision analysis demonstrates test dichotomization narrows testing windows in clinical decision making, suggesting continuous test thresholds prevent undertesting bias.

Key Points

  • To evaluate how assuming fixed sensitivity and specificity in threshold models affects clinical decision-making for continuous and ordinal diagnostic tests.
  • Analyzed classic Pauker-Kassirer threshold decision models that divide pretest probabilities into no-test, test, and treat action zones.
  • Evaluated the mathematical relationship between pretest probability and optimal sensitivity-specificity cutoffs for continuous and ordinal diagnostic tests.
  • Treating continuous test outputs as fixed binary variables inflates testing thresholds and deflates test-treatment thresholds.
  • This distortion artificially narrows the optimal testing window, producing a systematic undertesting bias that undervalues diagnostic testing.

Cite This Study

Murat C. Mungan (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a8562eb03308d306e2d5f42https://doi.org/10.1177/0272989x261471178
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