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August 19, 2026International Journal of Network Dynamics and IntelligenceOpen Access

Deep Variational System Identification for Nonlinear State-Space Models via Alternating Optimization

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Authors

KFKaiqi FangHuazhong University of Science and TechnologyGMGuijun MaHuazhong University of Science and TechnologyYWYasen WangSouth China University of Technology

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Overview

Computational study demonstrates stable parameter estimation in nonlinear dynamical systems, suggesting improved identification of latent trajectories and noise.

Key Points

  • To develop a stable and scalable deep variational inference framework for joint latent-state estimation and parameter identification in nonlinear state-space models.
  • Parameterized the variational posterior mean using a non-causal dilated residual convolutional network while preserving a block-tridiagonal precision matrix for linear-time inference.
  • Introduced an alternating optimization strategy decoupling variational smoothing via an evidence lower bound approximation from analytic model and noise parameter updates.
  • Tested the framework on benchmark simulations comprising a nonlinear discrete-time system and a stochastic Duffing oscillator.
  • Eliminated optimization instabilities commonly associated with expressive deep parameterizations in joint state and parameter learning.
  • Achieved accurate and reliable estimation of nonlinear system dynamics alongside underlying noise statistics.

Cite This Study

Fang et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a8563d703308d306e2d7428https://doi.org/10.53941/ijndi.2026.100017
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