What question did this study set out to answer?

To assess how future climate scenarios affect crop water productivity and yield, and to evaluate potential adaptation strategies in a water-stressed watershed.

August 19, 2026LandOpen Access

Assessing Sustainable Adaptation Strategies for Water Productivity and Crop Yields Under Future Climate Scenarios in a Water-Stressed Watershed

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Authors

BDBeibei DingChina Agricultural University JZJiayao ZhuSoochow University JGJianing GeTongji University

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Implication

Simulation study shows early sowing combined with long-season cultivars increases crop yields and water productivity, indicating targeted management can mitigate climate impacts in arid regions.

Key Points

To assess how future climate scenarios affect crop water productivity and yield, and to evaluate potential adaptation strategies in a water-stressed watershed.
Simulated future climate scenarios in the Palo Duro Watershed of the Texas High Plains using an improved Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model.
Evaluated five single-factor adaptations (early/late sowing, long/short-season cultivars, crop substitution) and one integrated adaptation scenario across dryland and irrigated crops.
Under future climate scenarios without adaptation, yields declined by 6.7–13.1% for irrigated corn and 11.6–34.1% for irrigated sorghum, while increasing by 8.0–32.8% for dryland winter wheat and 8.4–33.7% for irrigated winter wheat.
Early sowing and long-season cultivars jointly increased yields and water productivity for irrigated corn, irrigated sorghum, and dryland winter wheat, though long-season cultivars required greater irrigation.
Crop substitution was generally unfavorable under local conditions, whereas baseline management remained optimal for irrigated winter wheat.

Cite This Study

Ding et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a858aaf03308d306e2d7efb https://doi.org/10.3390/land15081493

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Implication

Simulation study shows early sowing combined with long-season cultivars increases crop yields and water productivity, indicating targeted management can mitigate climate impacts in arid regions.

Assessing Sustainable Adaptation Strategies for Water Productivity and Crop Yields Under Future Climate Scenarios in a Water-Stressed Watershed

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

Assessing Sustainable Adaptation Strategies for Water Productivity and Crop Yields Under Future Climate Scenarios in a Water-Stressed Watershed

Discussion

Member takes

Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

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