Detection and estimation of spacecraft maneuvers for catalog maintenance

Building and maintaining a catalog of resident space objects involves several tasks, ranging from observations to data analysis. Once acquired, the knowledge of a space object needs to be updated following a dedicated observing schedule. Dynamics mismodeling and unknown maneuvers can alter the catalog’s accuracy, resulting in uncorrelated observations originating from the same object. Starting from two independent orbits, this work presents a convex-optimization based approach to find admissible maneuvers to correlate the two orbits. In case of a feasible maneuver detection, the time profile of the maneuver is estimated, exploiting the conjugate unscented transform to map the orbits’ covariance into the maneuver uncertainty. It is also shown that a careful choice of the coordinate system is pivotal to obtain the solution in one iteration, without successive convexification.