What question did this study set out to answer?

To quantify global, regional, and national prevalence and years lived with disability for low back pain from 1990 to 2020, identify major attributable risk factors, and project case numbers through 2050.

January 1, 2023Open Access

Global, Regional, and National Burden of Low Back Pain, 1990–2020, Its Attributable Risk Factors, And Projections to 2050: A Systematic Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

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Authors

MFManuela L. FerreiraUniversidade Federal de Minas Gerais KLKatie de LucaThe University of Queensland LHLydia HaileInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation

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Implication

Systematic analysis reveals low back pain affected 619 million people globally in 2020, projecting 843 million cases by 2050 and highlighting growing rehabilitation needs.

Key Points

To quantify global, regional, and national prevalence and years lived with disability for low back pain from 1990 to 2020, identify major attributable risk factors, and project case numbers through 2050.
Synthesized data from population-based studies (1980–2019), health surveys, and USA claims across 204 countries and territories, harmonizing case definitions with network meta-regression.
Modeled prevalence and years lived with disability by age, sex, location, and year using nested Bayesian meta-regression.
Forecasted low back pain prevalence to 2050 via meta-regression against Socio-demographic Index coupled with demographic projections.
In 2020, global low back pain prevalence reached 619 million cases (95% UI 554–694) with an age-standardised YLD rate of 832 per 100,000 (578–1070), projected to increase to 843 million cases (757–933) by 2050.
Age-standardised prevalence and YLD rates decreased between 1990 and 2020 by 10.4% (95% UI 9.97–10.9) and 10.5% (10.0–11.1), respectively.
Occupational ergonomic factors, smoking, and elevated body-mass index accounted for 38.8% (95% UI 28.7–47.0) of total low back pain YLDs in 2020.

Cite This Study

Ferreira et al. (2023) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a8843768c7e900eb714c93e https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4318392

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Implication

Systematic analysis reveals low back pain affected 619 million people globally in 2020, projecting 843 million cases by 2050 and highlighting growing rehabilitation needs.

Global, Regional, and National Burden of Low Back Pain, 1990–2020, Its Attributable Risk Factors, And Projections to 2050: A Systematic Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

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Implication

Key Points

Cite This Study

Global, Regional, and National Burden of Low Back Pain, 1990–2020, Its Attributable Risk Factors, And Projections to 2050: A Systematic Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

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Implication

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