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July 27, 2001Science

Ecological Forecasts: An Emerging Imperative

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Authors

JCJames S. ClarkNorthwestern UniversitySCS. R. CarpenterUniversity of Wisconsin SystemMBM. Craig BarberRTI International

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Implication

Perspective reveals that reliable ecological forecasts improve environmental management, highlighting the need for interdisciplinary collaboration between scientists and policymakers.

Key Points

  • To outline the necessity, emerging technological capacity, and collaborative scientific agenda required to generate operational ecological forecasts for natural resource management.
  • Synthesized recent advances in ecological data collection, computational infrastructure, and statistical modeling.
  • Evaluated the structural requirements for connecting ecological forecasting workflows with societal and policy decision-making processes.
  • Rapid expansion of computational capabilities and novel datasets qualitatively increases the feasibility of forecasting ecosystem states, ecosystem services, and natural capital.
  • Effective ecological forecasting relies on interdisciplinary integration to account for climatic controls, societal drivers, and bidirectional social-ecological feedbacks.

Cite This Study

Clark et al. (2001) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a891069eb3171c94f1ff4ddhttps://doi.org/10.1126/science.293.5530.657
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