EDITOR—Many non-communicable diseases are set to increase dramatically during the 21st century. In particular, the prevalence of diabetes mellitus may double from 124 million people worldwide in 1997 to 220 million by 2010.1 Regions with the greatest potential increases are Asia and Africa—precisely the areas with the greatest potential increases in the prevalence of HIV infection and AIDS. The impact of HIV infection and AIDS on the diabetes epidemic is difficult to assess, but we have tried to estimate it for South Africa using population data …
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Panz et al. (1999) studied this question.
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