Ice core analysis reveals sustained equatorial dominance in global methane emissions over two millennia, indicating higher tropical contributions than inferred from polar records.
Tropical wetlands are widely considered the largest natural source of atmospheric methane (CH 4 ) 1–4 . However, uncertainties about wetland extent and CH 4 production have led to large variations in modelled CH 4 emission trends 2,3 . Most historical reconstructions rely on data from polar ice cores, which cannot fully resolve the tropical contribution 5,6 to the CH 4 budget. Here we present a 2,000-year record of atmospheric CH 4 concentrations from ice cores drilled from the South Peak summit of Nevado Huascarán (Summit Core A, SCA; −9.122° S, −77.605° W; 6,768 m asl). We find that the trends and magnitudes of our CH 4 record are broadly consistent with polar records 7 . Our δ 13 C-CH 4 measurements (from approximately 1530 CE to 1999 CE) align with isotope values 8 consistent with a dominant tropical CH 4 source. Integration of our record into an atmospheric four-box model suggests a sustained equatorial dominance of CH 4 source strength over the past two millennia. Our findings indicate that equatorial CH 4 emissions are higher than previous estimates based only on polar ice core data, supporting the long-standing hypothesis that low-latitude CH 4 emissions dominated pre-industrial (PI) CH 4 variability 5,6 . These results demonstrate the importance of tropical ice cores on the reconstruction of CH 4 variability and latitudinal distribution.
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Lamantia et al. (2026) studied this question.
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