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August 22, 2026Natural Hazards Review

Roadway Traffic Assessment of the 2023 Maui Wildfires

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Authors

BWBrian WolshonSPScott ParrSPSiddharth S. Parida

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Overview

Observational traffic analysis uncovers an absence of typical vehicular evacuation spikes during rapid-onset wildfires, suggesting severe roadway blockages and delayed evacuation responses.

Key Points

  • Quantify vehicular traffic patterns before, during, and after the 2023 Maui wildfires to evaluate evacuation and reentry dynamics in the Lahaina area.
  • Extracted continuous traffic count data from the Federal Highway Administration Traffic Monitoring System across the island of Maui, Hawaii.
  • Established a 5-week pre-fire baseline and evaluated 3 weeks of continuous data during and after the wildfire to analyze volume, direction, and timing of vehicle movements.
  • Continuous sensor data showed an absence of clear or definitive vehicular evacuation surges or reentry patterns out of or into the Lahaina area, contrasting with typical large-scale disaster evacuations.
  • Traffic patterns qualitatively indicate severe roadway congestion, gridlock, low situational awareness delaying departure decisions, or significant movement on foot rather than by motor vehicle.

Cite This Study

Wolshon et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a895f62ca7ade938187e0d9https://doi.org/10.1061/nhrefo.nheng-2502
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