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August 22, 2026Scientific ReportsOpen Access

Capturing three decades of alpine food-web and climate dynamics with an integrated predator–prey model

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Authors

ASAnnabel J. SlettenhaarCNChloé R. NaterJØJan Eivind Østnes

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Overview

Ecological modeling study reveals strong trophic feedbacks and climate sensitivity in an alpine food web, highlighting the importance of species interactions in ecosystem forecasts.

Key Points

  • To quantify key species interactions, trophic feedback loops, and climate sensitivity within an alpine food web over a 30-year period.
  • Developed an integrated predator–prey model fitted to three decades of ecological monitoring data from a Norwegian alpine ecosystem.
  • Modeled interactions among gyrfalcons (specialist predators), ptarmigan (key prey), and rodents (alternative prey), accounting for prey survival, predator breeding probability, apparent competition, and spring temperature variability.
  • Gyrfalcon breeding probability increased with higher ptarmigan density, whereas ptarmigan survival decreased with higher gyrfalcon breeding probability.
  • Ptarmigan recruitment was positively related to both rodent density and warmer spring temperatures.
  • Showed that population dynamics emerge from an interconnected system of coupled predator–prey feedbacks, indirect competition, and climatic factors.

Cite This Study

Slettenhaar et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a895fd3ca7ade938187eb0chttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-66670-3
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