Key result
Machine learning-based infarct volume predictions correlated well with manual annotation for successful (ICC 0.87; 95% CI 0.73-0.94) and unsuccessful (ICC 0.73; 95% CI 0.31-0.91) recanalization.
Why the study?
While the penumbra zone is traditionally assessed using perfusion-diffusion mismatch, it can alternatively be assessed using machine learning prediction of infarct growth.
Does a machine learning model accurately predict infarct growth distribution and volume compared to manual annotation in patients with middle cerebral artery occlusion?
Observational
Does a machine learning model accurately predict infarct growth distribution and volume compared to manual annotation in patients with middle cerebral artery occlusion?
Effect estimate: ICC 0.87 (95% CI 0.73-0.94)
p-value: p=<0.001
Machine learning models can accurately predict infarct growth and volume in acute ischemic stroke, offering a potential alternative to traditional perfusion-diffusion mismatch for selecting patients for recanalization therapy.
May support ML as manual alternative for infarct volumetry in MCA occlusion; hypothesis-generating before clinical adoption.
While the penumbra zone is traditionally assessed based on perfusion–diffusion mismatch, it can be assessed based on machine learning (ML) prediction of infarct growth. The purpose of this work was to develop and validate an ML method for the prediction of infarct growth distribution and volume, in cases of successful (SR) and unsuccessful recanalization (UR). Pre-treatment perfusion-weighted, diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) data, and final infarct lesions annotated from day-7 DWI from patients with middle cerebral artery occlusion were utilized to develop and validate two ML models for prediction of tissue fate. SR and UR models were developed from data in patients with modified treatment in cerebral infarction (mTICI) scores of 2b–3 and 0–2a, respectively. When compared to manual infarct annotation, ML-based infarct volume predictions resulted in an intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) of 0.73 (95% CI = 0.31–0.91, p < 0.01) for UR, and an ICC of 0.87 (95% CI = 0.73–0.94, p < 0.001) for SR. Favorable outcomes for mismatch presence and absence in SR were 50% and 36%, respectively, while they were 61%, 56%, and 25%, respectively, for the low, intermediate, and high infarct growth groups. The presented method can offer novel and alternative insights into selecting patients for recanalization therapy and predicting functional outcome.
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Kim et al. (2020) conducted an observational in Acute Ischemic Stroke. Machine learning prediction of infarct growth vs. Manual infarct annotation was evaluated on Infarct volume prediction accuracy (Intraclass correlation coefficient) compared to manual annotation (ICC 0.87, 95% CI 0.73-0.94, p=<0.001). Machine learning-based infarct volume predictions correlated well with manual annotation for successful (ICC 0.87; 95% CI 0.73-0.94) and unsuccessful (ICC 0.73; 95% CI 0.31-0.91) recanalization.
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