What does this research mean for the field?

China's high-technology industrial policy drove its export expansion and industrial upgrading, generating cross-border spillovers that benefited upstream German industries while causing downstream German workers to adjust to import competition primarily through downward occupational mobility. Novelty: ClaimNovelty.INCREMENTAL. Consensus alignment: ConsensusAlignment.NEUTRAL.

What question did this study set out to answer?

Investigate how high-technology industrial policy affects export expansion, international trade spillovers, and worker occupational mobility.

August 23, 2026Open Access

Essays in industrial policy, international trade, and labour economics

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Investigate how high-technology industrial policy affects export expansion, international trade spillovers, and worker occupational mobility.
Digitized Chinese high-technology policy catalogues mapped to HS codes and analyzed export and patenting trends using staggered difference-in-differences designs.
Combined product-level policy measures with bilateral Germany-China trade, input-output linkages, and industry-level labor market outcomes.
Estimated trade-induced occupational mobility effects using German administrative worker records linked to occupation-level import exposure via a shift-share instrument.
Targeted Chinese high-technology products achieved persistent export growth, increased revealed comparative advantage, market upgrading, and elevated domestic patenting activity.
China's policy generated bilateral spillovers by increasing German imports of treated goods and boosting German exports, employment, and wages in upstream capital goods industries.
German downstream industries adjusted via occupational restructuring, with heightened import competition driving workers into lower-paying occupations rather than aggregate employment reductions.

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Implication

Empirical study reveals how Chinese industrial policy drove domestic high-tech export growth and reshaped German trade and worker mobility, highlighting complex global labor market spillovers.

Cite This Study

Yuxuan Wu (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a8aadd57677a3411444655c https://doi.org/10.14288/1.0455270

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Implication

Empirical study reveals how Chinese industrial policy drove domestic high-tech export growth and reshaped German trade and worker mobility, highlighting complex global labor market spillovers.

Essays in industrial policy, international trade, and labour economics

Key Points

Discussion

Implication

Cite This Study

Essays in industrial policy, international trade, and labour economics

Key Points

Discussion

Implication

Cite This Study

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