Spatial Heterogeneity of Long-Term Sandy Shoreline Change Along Eastern Hainan Island, China (1987–2025)

Long-term shoreline change on tropical islands is spatially heterogeneous, but alongshore contrasts remain insufficiently resolved. We quantified shoreline change along the 151.1 km eastern sandy coast of Hainan Island, China, from 1987 to 2025 using Landsat-derived visually interpreted shoreline proxies and the Digital Shoreline Analysis System across 1413 transects. The coast was broadly stable to accretional, with a mean linear regression rate (LRR) of 0.49 m/yr and a mean net shoreline movement (NSM) of 17.72 m. Under the uncertainty-aware classification, 28.0% of transects were stable, 42.1% accretional, 8.2% erosional, and 21.7% indeterminate. For descriptive comparison, the eight sectors were grouped into three broad alongshore zones: a stable northern zone (Beaches A–B), an accretion-dominated central zone (Beaches C–E), and a heterogeneous southern zone (Beaches F–H). The strongest accretion occurred at Beach D (LRR = 7.63 m/yr), whereas the strongest erosion occurred south of the offshore artificial island at Beach F (LRR = −3.97 m/yr). These contrasts show that coast-wide stability or accretion can mask localized erosion. The observed patterns were spatially associated with differences in headland-bay morphology, nearshore seagrass beds, engineering structures, estuarine processes, and lagoon-inlet settings. The findings support beach-sector monitoring and differentiated coastal management.