Socioeconomic Sustainability of Agricultural Drone Adoption in China: Impacts on Production Costs, ROI, and Labor Structure

Agricultural drones have been increasingly adopted to improve production efficiency and address labor shortages in agriculture. However, their broader socioeconomic effects remain unclear, particularly regarding whether drone-assisted farming may increase unemployment pressure or attract excessive capital intervention that threatens farmers’ access to farmland and the sustainable development of agricultural production systems. To address these issues, this study evaluates the development scale and economic effects of agricultural drones in China. A comparative analytical framework is constructed to quantify production costs, return on investment (ROI), and labor demand under traditional and drone-assisted farming modes. Corn and citrus are selected as representative grain and fruit crops for empirical analysis. The results indicate the following: (1) Drone-assisted farming reduces production costs. (2) At the baseline prices, the ROI of drone-assisted corn and citrus production increases to 10.53% and 7.65%, respectively, but remains low, suggesting a limited risk of excessive capital intervention. (3) At the national scale, drone-assisted farming generates estimated cost savings for corn and citrus. (4) In terms of labor effects, agricultural drones mainly help alleviate agricultural labor shortages rather than generate large-scale unemployment, while also improving production efficiency and supporting sustainable agricultural development.