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August 25, 2026Japanese Circulation Journal-english Edition

Reduced heart rate variability and mortality risk in an elderly cohort. The Framingham Heart Study.

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Why the study?

The prognostic implications of alterations in heart rate variability had not been evaluated in a large community-based population.

Does reduced heart rate variability predict all-cause mortality in an elderly community-based cohort?

Population

736 elderly subjects from the Framingham Heart Study

Comparison

Heart rate variability measures

Design

Prospective cohort study

Follow-up

4 years

Key result

A 1 SD decrement in low-frequency power of heart rate variability was associated with a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.70; 95% CI 1.37-2.09; P<0.0001).

Authors

HTHisako TsujiFVFerdinand J. VendittiEMEmily S Manders

Discussion

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Overview

Lower HRV independently predicts mortality in elderly cohorts; leaves open whether it refines risk stratification or warrants intervention trials.

Key Points

  • To assess whether reductions in heart rate variability measures derived from ambulatory ECG recordings predict all-cause mortality in a community-based cohort of older adults.
  • Reprocessed the initial 2 hours of ambulatory ECG recordings from N=736 Framingham Heart Study participants (mean age 72 ± 6 years) followed over 4 years.
  • Measured five frequency-domain and three time-domain indices after excluding participants with nonsinus rhythm, premature beats >10%, short recordings, or antiarrhythmic drug use.
  • Over 4 years of follow-up, 74 participants died, with very-low-frequency power (P < 0.0001), low-frequency power (P < 0.0001), high-frequency power (P = 0.0014), total power (P < 0.0001), and SDNN (P = 0.0019) significantly predicting all-cause mortality in multivariable models.
  • In stepwise multivariable analysis, a 1 SD decrease in natural log-transformed low-frequency power independently predicted all-cause mortality (HR 1.70, 95% CI 1.37 to 2.09, P < 0.0001).

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=736)

Structured PICO

Does reduced heart rate variability predict all-cause mortality in an elderly community-based cohort?

P
Population
736 elderly community-dwelling subjects (mean age 72 years) from the Framingham Heart Study with valid ambulatory ECG recordings, followed for 4 years.
E
Exposure
Heart rate variability assessment via first 2 hours of ambulatory ECG recordings
O
Outcome
All-cause mortality during 4 years of follow-uphard clinical

Main Result

Hazard Ratio: 1.7 (95% CI 1.37–2.09)

p-value: p=<.0001

Reduced heart rate variability, particularly low-frequency power, is a strong independent predictor of all-cause mortality in an elderly community-based population.

Cite This Study

Tsuji et al. (1994) conducted a cohort in General elderly population (n=736). 1 SD decrement in low-frequency power (heart rate variability) vs. Higher low-frequency power was evaluated on All-cause mortality (HR 1.70, 95% CI 1.37-2.09, p=<.0001). A 1 SD decrement in low-frequency power of heart rate variability was associated with a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.70; 95% CI 1.37-2.09; P<0.0001).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a8d099d4b78e96aff4f8e76https://doi.org/10.1161/01.cir.90.2.878
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Heart Rate Variability from Short Electrocardiographic Recordings Predicts Mortality from All Causes in Middle-aged and Elderly Men: The Zutphen Study1997 · 505 citations
  2. 2Both Decreased and Increased Heart Rate Variability on the Standard 10-Second Electrocardiogram Predict Cardiac Mortality in the Elderly: The Rotterdam Study1999 · 171 citations
  3. 3Determinants of heart rate variability1996 · 368 citations
  4. 4Power-Law Relationship of Heart Rate Variability as a Predictor of Mortality in the Elderly1998 · 270 citations
  5. 5Heart rate variability as a means of assessing prognosis after acute myocardial infarction: A 3-year follow-up study1997 · 73 citations