Adaptive Thermal Comfort Assessment in a Large Mineral Flotation Workshop Using Monte Carlo and Sobol Analysis

Large mineral flotation workshops in severe cold regions represent special industrial indoor environments characterized by the coexistence of limited ventilation and intense heat release. Such conditions generate pronounced spatial thermal stratification and localized heat accumulation within the workshop, leading to uneven worker thermal exposure and increased thermal discomfort and heat stress risk. However, conventional thermal comfort models were primarily developed for ordinary buildings with relatively stable thermal environments. Their applicability to large industrial workshops remains insufficiently validated. Nine representative monitoring points were arranged in the summer operating areas of the workshop, and thermal comfort surveys were conducted among 35 workers who had adapted to the local climate and working environment. The predicted mean vote (PMV) model was used as the baseline assessment framework, while an adaptive predicted mean vote (aPMV) model was further calibrated using field-based thermal sensation information. Monte Carlo simulation was employed to evaluate uncertainty propagation under field-data constraints, and Sobol sensitivity analysis was conducted to identify the dominant factors affecting thermal comfort predictions. The results demonstrated that the conventional PMV model exhibited a clear warm prediction bias under the investigated industrial conditions. After adaptive correction, the deviation from the field-based TSV was reduced by 82.93%, indicating improved agreement with workers’ actual thermal perception. Sensitivity analysis identified metabolic rate as the dominant contributor to aPMV output variance, with first-order and total-effect Sobol indices of 0.530 and 0.535. The proposed framework provides a scenario-specific approach for thermal comfort assessment in the investigated flotation workshop and offers preliminary methodological references for similar large-scale flotation workshops.