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Economic modeling analysis reveals high basic-needs income thresholds in metropolitan areas, highlighting that federal poverty metrics fail to capture true living costs.
The dollar sign triggers Zenodo’s mathematical formatting. Use “USD” instead: This study estimates the annual cost of raising a family in the United States and the gross income households require to meet basic needs. Using the MIT Living Wage Calculator, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Expenditure Survey, and federal poverty guidelines, the study compares single-parent, one-earner, and two-earner households across Denver, New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Houston, Miami, and San Francisco. The analysis examines housing, food, child care, medical care, transportation, communications, taxes, and other necessities. It calculates the additional income associated with each child and distinguishes among basic-needs, stable, and resilient household income thresholds. The results identify child care as the largest modeled expense for a two-earner Denver family with two children. Such a household requires approximately USD 151,767 in combined annual gross income to meet basic needs. A single Denver parent with two children requires approximately USD 147,304 and must generate the full amount through one income. The study demonstrates why federal poverty thresholds do not represent the actual income required to support a family in major American cities. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.22074406
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Francisco M. Martinez (2026) studied this question.
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