Predictive modeling study reveals superior credit risk assessment using LSTM networks in CSI 300 firms, highlighting the value of capturing temporal dependencies in financial data.
Listed companies are vital to capital markets, but issues like information opacity and poor governance elevate credit risks, impacting economic stability. This study proposes a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network model to assess credit risk by analyzing time-series financial indicators. Factor analysis reduces dimensionality of indicators, followed by LSTM training on sequential data to predict risk levels. Using CSI 300 firms’ data, the model achieves 87.5% accuracy, outperforming traditional methods like logistic regression (80.2%). The approach captures temporal dependencies, offering dynamic risk forecasts. Limitations include data quality reliance and computational complexity. Results support regulators and investors in enhancing risk management.
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Yizhi Wang (2025) studied this question.
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