Progression of Cervical Ossification of the Posterior Longitudinal Ligament: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Risk Factors, Surgical Approaches, and Reoperation Rates

BACKGROUND: Cervical ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament (OPLL) frequently progresses despite decompression surgery, leading to recurrent myelopathy. This meta-analysis aims to quantify risk factors for OPLL progression, compare surgical strategies, and determine the pooled reoperation rate due to symptomatic progression. METHODS: Following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, 26 high-quality studies comprising 1929 patients were included. Standardized mean differences (SMDs) and odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals were calculated to assess risk factors, and all of the analyses were done with a random-effects model. A network meta-analysis using a random-effects model was conducted to compare surgical approaches, utilizing laminoplasty (LP) as the reference node. RESULTS: = 0.002). Nonsurgical management was also associated with lower odds of progression; however, this finding should be interpreted with caution due to potential confounding by indication. Additionally, the pooled long-term reoperation rate due to neurological deterioration from OPLL progression was 6.1% (95% confidence interval 2.9%-10.2%) over a mean follow-up of 72.6 ± 63.7 months. CONCLUSIONS: OPLL progression is statistically predictable, driven by younger age, higher body mass index, reduced cervical range of motion, and mixed-type morphology. Because anterior and fusion procedures were associated with lower progression rates compared with LP, these approaches should be considered in high-risk patients; however, these findings should be interpreted with caution given the heterogeneity across included studies. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: For patients with high-risk profiles (eg, mixed-type OPLL), fusion or anterior decompression should be strongly considered over LP. When laminoplasty is used in high-risk patients, they should be advised on the necessity of long-term surveillance.