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August 29, 2026The Kaohsiung Journal of Medical SciencesOpen Access

Pretreatment Prediction of Tumor Recurrence in Breast Cancer After Neoadjuvant Systemic Therapy Using Machine Learning With Clinical and CT Radiomics Features

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Authors

HTHuei‐Yi TsaiJWJo‐Ching WangWCWei-Shiuan Chung

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Overview

Retrospective study shows integrated CT radiomics and clinical machine learning models predict tumor recurrence in breast cancer, indicating a path toward optimized pretreatment risk assessment.

Key Points

  • To develop and validate machine learning models that integrate pretreatment computed tomography radiomics and clinical features to predict breast cancer recurrence following neoadjuvant systemic therapy.
  • Retrospectively evaluated 235 patients with 237 breast tumors who underwent contrast-enhanced CT prior to neoadjuvant systemic therapy.
  • Partitioned datasets into training and testing sets and used nested five-fold cross-validation to assess three machine learning algorithms across clinical, radiomics, and integrated models.
  • Stratified patients into risk tiers and compared recurrence-free survival curves using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the log-rank test.
  • The random survival forest clinical model (mean AUC = 0.755) and the Cox-LASSO radiomics model (mean AUC = 0.636) demonstrated the highest performance among individual algorithms.
  • The integrated model combining random survival forest clinical features and Cox-LASSO radiomics achieved a superior mean AUC of 0.777 for recurrence prediction.
  • Log-rank analysis showed statistically significant differences in survival curves between the high- and low-risk cohorts stratified by the integrated model on the testing sets.

Cite This Study

Tsai et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a9299ac8e5d7d1fc0c11ca0https://doi.org/10.1002/kjm2.70288
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