Key result
Including valve leaflet thickening in Duke-ESC criteria boosts IE sensitivity to ~79% but severely reduces specificity.
Why the study?
Valve leaflet thickening was recently incorporated into the 2023 Duke criteria by the ESC, but its impact on the diagnosis of infective endocarditis required assessment.
Does the inclusion of valve leaflet thickening as a major imaging criterion improve the diagnostic accuracy for infective endocarditis in adults with suspected IE?
Observational (n=3,747)
No
Does the inclusion of valve leaflet thickening as a major imaging criterion improve the diagnostic accuracy for infective endocarditis in adults with suspected IE?
Valve leaflet thickening is a non-specific imaging finding that substantially reduces diagnostic specificity when incorporated into the 2023 Duke-ESC clinical criteria for infective endocarditis, risking overdiagnosis.
Background Valve leaflet thickening was recently incorporated into the 2023 version of the Duke criteria by the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) as a potential imaging marker of infective endocarditis (IE). The study aimed to assess the impact of valve leaflet thickening on the diagnosis of IE among patients investigated for suspected IE. Methods This retrospective study included adults with suspected IE at Lausanne University Hospital (2014-2025). IE was diagnosed by the 2023 Duke-ISCVID based on the clinical, pathological, and rejection criteria. Reclassification of IE status was assessed according to the 2023 Duke-ESC clinical criteria with and without inclusion of leaflet thickening. Results Among 3,747 episodes of suspected IE, valve leaflet thickening was identified in 288 (8%). IE was diagnosed in 193/288 (67%) episodes. Among the 193 IE episodes, 62 (32%) showed no additional intracardiac lesion typically associated with IE. When leaflet thickening was excluded from imaging criteria, 144 episodes (50%) still fulfilled a major imaging criterion according to the 2023 Duke-ESC clinical criteria. Incorporation of leaflet thickening into the 2023 Duke-ESC clinical criteria increased sensitivity from 59% (95% CI: 52-66%) to 79% (95% CI: 73-85%), while specificity decreased from 98% (95% CI: 93-100%) to 46% (95% CI: 36-57%). Conclusions Valve leaflet thickening is a frequent but non-specific imaging finding that substantially reduces diagnostic specificity when incorporated into the 2023 Duke-ESC clinical criteria. Its use as a major imaging criterion risks overdiagnosis and overtreatment, underscoring the need for cautious interpretation within a multidisciplinary diagnostic framework.
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Τζίμας et al. (2026) conducted an observational in Suspected infective endocarditis (n=3,747). Incorporation of valve leaflet thickening into 2023 Duke-ESC clinical criteria vs. 2023 Duke-ESC clinical criteria without leaflet thickening was evaluated on Diagnostic sensitivity for infective endocarditis. Incorporating valve leaflet thickening into the 2023 Duke-ESC criteria increased diagnostic sensitivity for infective endocarditis from 59% to 79% but decreased specificity from 98% to 46%.
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