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August 30, 2026Space WeatherOpen Access

The High‐Latitude Workbox for the Ionosphere (HAWK‐I): A New Toolkit for Real‐Time Specification of the Arctic Ionosphere

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Authors

PDP. B. DandenaultCCClayton CantrallRSR. K. Schaefer

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Overview

Validation study demonstrates improved electron density nowcasting in the Arctic ionosphere during geomagnetic storms, highlighting the critical role of data assimilation for space weather tracking.

Key Points

  • To develop and validate the High-Latitude Workbox for the Ionosphere (HAWK-I), an operational system providing real-time 3D electron density specifications across the Arctic.
  • Implemented the Ionospheric Data Assimilation Four-Dimensional (IDA4D) framework utilizing a 3DVar algorithm to update log-electron-density states at a 5-minute cadence.
  • Assimilated GNSS and radio occultation data, evaluating performance during the May 2024 geomagnetic storm against ground-based GNSS Total Electron Content (TEC) and incoherent scatter radar observations.
  • Substantially reduced TEC errors and improved the spatial representation of storm-time ionospheric structures relative to standard background models.
  • Radio occultation data assimilation enhanced model performance in remote Arctic regions situated far from ground-based GNSS receivers.

Cite This Study

Dandenault et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a93f0476c1a8fb52e79c440https://doi.org/10.1029/2026sw005159
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