Hydrological modeling study reveals river vulnerability to climate extremes, highlighting threshold-triggered management frameworks for drought adaptation.
Rivers are vulnerable to hydrometeorological and climatic pressures, while effective water resources management during low-flow season can be challenging. This paper studies the impacts of extreme hydrometeorological events and climate change on Greek rivers, and presents a framework for the incorporation of these pressures into the Program of Measures (PoMs) of the River Basin Management Plans (RBMPs) for the implementation of the Water Framework Directive 2000/60 (WFD). The final aim is the adaptation to drought and water scarcity. The proposed methodological approach incorporates a process-based model, climate change projections, drought indices and low-flow boundaries, so as to assess the impact of hydrometeorological and climatic pressures on the quantitative quality status of rivers. Then, the quantitative response of rivers under different predicted climate scenarios was examined. Based on the results, a water management plan was adopted and tested regarding its effectiveness, so as to promote evidence-based water strategies. Additionally, comprehensive measures and an operational scheme and adaptations actions for the mitigation of the hydrometeorological and climate related pressures in rivers of Greece were proposed. This operational framework is based on quantitative thresholds that trigger actions and measures for adaptation and can be used by decision-makers and stakeholders as guidelines for mitigation actions. The framework proposed was applied to the Spercheios river basin, which was selected as a demonstration site.
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Mentzafou et al. (2026) studied this question.
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