Acute Kidney Injury Duration and 20-Year Risks of CKD and Cardiovascular Disease

Introduction: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and cardiovascular disease (CVD); however, it is unclear whether AKI duration affects the long-term risks of CKD and CVD. Therefore, we performed a population-based cohort study examining the associations between AKI duration and CKD and CVD. Methods: We identified patients with laboratory-recorded AKI in Denmark from 1990 through 2018. AKIs were categorized as rapid reversal AKI (≤48 hours), persistent AKI (2-7 days), and acute kidney disease (AKD) (>7 days). We estimated 20-year risks and adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) of incident CKD and CVD. Results: The study comprised 169,582 patients with AKI, with 100,478 and 76,838 included in the analysis of CKD and CVD, respectively. The 20-year risks of CKD were 26.3%, 29.5%, and 28.7% for rapid reversal AKI, persistent AKI, and AKD, respectively. Compared with rapid reversal AKI, aHRs were 1.13 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-1.19) for persistent AKI and 1.36 (95% CI, 1.30-1.41) for AKD. Risks and rates of overall CVD were similar for rapid reversal AKI, persistent AKI, and AKD. However, persistent AKI was associated with a slightly increased aHR of heart failure (1.09; 95% CI, 1.02-1.16), and aHRs of heart failure, ischemic heart disease, and peripheral artery disease were slightly increased for AKD (1.09 [95% CI, 1.03-1.15], 1.11 [95% CI, 1.03-1.19], and 1.10 [95% CI, 1.02-1.17], respectively). Conclusion: AKI duration was associated with development of CKD, but not overall CVD; however, rates of heart failure, ischemic heart disease, and peripheral artery disease increased slightly with AKI duration.