Detecting Heart Failure using novel bio-signals and a Knowledge Enhanced Neural Network

1 Abstract Background Clinical decisions about Heart Failure (HF) are frequently based on measurements of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), relying mainly on echocardiography measurements for evaluating structural and functional abnormalities of heart disease. As echocardiography is not available in primary care, this means that HF cannot be detected on initial patient presentation. Instead, physicians in primary care must rely on a clinical diagnosis that can take weeks, even months of costly testing and clinical visits. As a result, the opportunity for early detection of HF is lost. Methods and results The standard 12-Lead ECG provides only limited diagnostic evidence for many common heart problems. ECG findings typically show low sensitivity for structural heart abnormalities and low specificity for function abnormalities, e.g., systolic dysfunction. As a result, structural and functional heart abnormalities are typically diagnosed by echocardiography in secondary care, effectively creating a diagnostic gap between primary and secondary care. This diagnostic gap was successfully reduced by an AI solution, the Cardio-HART™ (CHART), which uses Knowledge-enhanced Neural Networks to process novel bio-signals. Cardio-HART reached higher performance in prediction of HF when compared to the best ECG-based criteria: sensitivity increased from 53.5% to 82.8%, specificity from 85.1% to 86.9%, positive predictive value from 57.1% to 70.0%, the F-score from 56.4% to 72.2%, and area under curve from 0.79 to 0.91. The sensitivity of the HF-indicated findings is doubled by the AI compared to the best rule-based ECG-findings with a similar specificity level: from 38.6% to 71%. Conclusion Using an AI solution to process ECG and novel bio-signals, the CHART algorithms are able to predict structural, functional, and valve abnormalities, effectively reducing this diagnostic gap, thereby allowing for the early detection of most common heart diseases and HF in primary care.