Key result
The incidence rate of acute flaccid myelitis in 2014 was 5.4 times higher than the 2005-2013 average annual rate (12.6 vs 2.4 cases per 100,000 hospitalizations, p<0.0001).
Why the study?
It was unclear how frequently acute flaccid myelitis occurred in U.S. children before 2014, and whether 2014 cases had different characteristics, to help inform investigations on recent AFM outbreaks.
Observational (n=44)
Yes
Relative Risk: 5.4 (95% CI 2.8–10.3)
Absolute Event Rate: 12.6% vs 2.4%
p-value: p=<0.0001
This retrospective study confirms the emergence of an acute flaccid myelitis cluster in the US in late 2014, which presented with distinct clinical features (younger age, preceding respiratory/febrile illness, higher CSF pleocytosis) compared to sporadic cases from the preceding decade.
Supports 2014 AFM emergence with distinct features; leaves open national generalizability and causality.
BACKGROUND: Acute flaccid myelitis (AFM) is a severe illness similar to paralytic poliomyelitis. It is unclear how frequently AFM occurred in U.S. children after poliovirus elimination. In 2014, an AFM cluster was identified in Colorado, prompting passive US surveillance that yielded 120 AFM cases of unconfirmed etiology. Subsequently, increased reports were received in 2016 and 2018. To help inform investigations on causality of the recent AFM outbreaks, our objective was to determine how frequently AFM had occurred before 2014, and if 2014 cases had different characteristics. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study covering 2005-2014 at 5 pediatric centers in 3 U.S. regions. Possible AFM cases aged ≤18 years were identified by searching discharge ICD-9 codes and spinal cord MRI reports (>37,000). Neuroradiologists assessed MR images, and medical charts were reviewed; possible cases were classified as AFM, not AFM, or indeterminate. RESULTS: At 5 sites combined, 26 AFM cases were identified from 2005-2013 (average annual number, 3 [2.4 cases/100,000 pediatric hospitalizations]) and 18 from 2014 (12.6 cases/100,000 hospitalizations; Poisson exact p<0.0001). A cluster of 13 cases was identified in September-October 2014 (temporal scan p = 0.0001). No other temporal or seasonal trend was observed. Compared with cases from January 2005-July 2014 (n = 29), cases from August-December 2014 (n = 15) were younger (p = 0.002), more frequently had a preceding respiratory/febrile illness (p = 0.03), had only upper extremities involved (p = 0.008), and had upper extremity monoplegia (p = 0.03). The cases had higher WBC counts in cerebrospinal fluid (p = 0.013). CONCLUSION: Our data support emergence of AFM in 2014 in the United States, and those cases demonstrated distinctive features compared with preceding sporadic cases.
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Cortese et al. (2020) conducted an observational in Acute flaccid myelitis (AFM) (n=44). Year 2014 vs. Years 2005-2013 was evaluated on Incidence rate of AFM cases per 100,000 pediatric hospitalizations (RR 5.4, 95% CI 2.8-10.3, p=<0.0001). The incidence rate of acute flaccid myelitis in 2014 was 5.4 times higher than the 2005-2013 average annual rate (12.6 vs 2.4 cases per 100,000 hospitalizations, p<0.0001).
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