Clinical, Biologic, and Behavioral Predictors of Early Immunologic and Virologic Response in HIV-Infected Patients Initiating Protease Inhibitors

Predictors of virologic (plasma HIV RNA viral load [VL] < 500 copies/ml) and immunologic (rise in CD4+ cell count > 50 cells/mm3) response after 4 months of therapy (M4) were studied in 750 HIV-1-infected patients prospectively enrolled at the initiation of a protease inhibitor (PI)-containing regimen. A virologic response was observed in 80% of patients, and an immunologic response was observed in 64%. Sixty-two percent of patients self-reported full adherence to therapy at 1 month of therapy (M1) and M4. In multivariate analysis, a virologic response was more frequent in fully adherent patients (odds ratio [OR] = 2.0; p =.001). An immunologic response was associated with age < 36 years (OR =1.4; p =.03), baseline VL (OR = 1.5 per 1 log10 copies/ml higher; p <.01), decrease in VL at M1 (OR = 1.5 per 1 log10 copies/ml decrease; p <.01), baseline total lymphocyte count (OR = 1.7 per 50% lower; p <.001), and baseline CD4+ cell percentage > or = 20% (OR =1.9; p <.001) but not with adherence to therapy. Full adherence seems to be a major predictor of a virologic response to PI-containing triple therapy. An immunologic response may be possible despite incomplete adherence, at least early in therapy.