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We face a unique, transitory opportunity in the history of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, because we have collectively pooled money faster than the epidemic has grown [ 1 ]. Can we then seize the moment and halt this epidemic now? Most scenarios for the future of HIV/AIDS project modest reductions spread out over decades [ 2 ]. The very timescale of such projections, beyond the persistence time of all models, makes them unreliable [ 3 ]. Can we do better, quicker?
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Smith et al. (2009) studied this question.
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