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September 2, 2026BJU International

Kidney stones composition prediction using artificial intelligence ( KiSCAI) study

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Authors

LDLouise DuffautParisTechPSPietro ScilipotiVita-Salute San Raffaele UniversityZKZ. KheneInserm

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Overview

Retrospective cohort study reveals machine learning models predict stone composition from clinical and morphological data, highlighting tools for surgical planning.

Key Points

  • To develop, validate, and explain machine learning models that predict dominant urinary stone composition using routine clinical variables and standardized morphological features, quantifying the added value of morphology.
  • Retrospective cohort study evaluated 442 consecutive patients (2019–2024) undergoing endourological treatment or spontaneous stone expulsion with confirmed laboratory composition (>50% dominant component).
  • Data split into 80% training and 20% validation sets to evaluate clinical and Daudon-based morphological predictors across five stone types (calcium oxalate monohydrate, calcium oxalate dihydrate, calcium phosphate, uric acid, and cystine).
  • Assessed multiple fine-tuned classifiers (including CatBoost, XGBoost, and random forest) using repeated-resampling multiclass LASSO, macro-averaged one-vs-rest AUC, and SHAP explainability.
  • Stone composition across the cohort (N=442) comprised calcium oxalate monohydrate in 41.0% (n=181), calcium oxalate dihydrate in 24.9% (n=110), calcium phosphate in 19.7% (n=87), uric acid in 10.9% (n=49), and cystine in 3.6% (n=16).
  • Models using clinical variables alone achieved good predictive discrimination with macro-AUC reaching up to 0.809 in the validation cohort.
  • Integrating Daudon-based morphological features improved discrimination to a macro-AUC of up to 0.983 using CatBoost, with morphological descriptors ranking as top contributors by SHAP analysis.

Cite This Study

Duffaut et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a97e249c562ede874ec64d9https://doi.org/10.1111/bju.70442
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Investigation of the multifactorial regulatory mechanisms underlying compositional changes in recurrent urinary stones and development of a machine learning-based personalized predictive model2026
  2. 2MP30-17 RADIOMICS-BASED MULTI-CLASS CLASSIFICATION FOR COMPOSITION OF UROLITHIASIS ON NON-CONTRAST COMPUTED TOMOGRAPHY2024
  3. 3MP63-17 USE OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN THE DIAGNOSIS AND TREATMENT OF RECURRENT NEPHROLITHIASIS2024 · 1 citations
  4. 4Identifying recurrent stone formers with machine learning: A single‐centre observational study2026 · 1 citations
  5. 5Identifying recurrent stone formers with machine learning: A single-centre observational study.2026