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September 2, 2026Risk Analysis

Natural and Technological Risk Analysis in European Cross‐Border Regions: An Integrated Approach to Hazards and Vulnerability

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Authors

DLDiogo LopesEDE. DiegoAÀA. Àgueda

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Overview

Spatial risk assessment uncovers pronounced multi-hazard co-occurrence across European border areas, highlighting the need for coordinated cross-border disaster prevention and emergency planning.

Key Points

  • To develop an integrated methodology for assessing transboundary natural and technological hazards alongside population vulnerability across European cross-border regions.
  • Integrated georeferenced hazard data on extreme weather events, wildfires, industrial zones, and nuclear power plants across European borders.
  • Conducted a demographic vulnerability assessment incorporating population density and demographic structure to measure human exposure.
  • Transboundary hazards showed marked spatial heterogeneity: extreme weather predominated in central Europe and along the Portugal–Spain border, wildfires clustered in Mediterranean and Iberian regions, and nuclear and industrial hazards concentrated in central Europe.
  • The highest hazard exposure occurred in multi-hazard hotspots where threats co-occurred, specifically along the Italy–Switzerland, Belgium–Netherlands, and Portugal–Spain borders.
  • Vulnerability peaked in regions with high population density and sensitive demographic structures, notably along the Belgium–Germany border.

Cite This Study

Lopes et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a97e2f6c562ede874ec76c3https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70344
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