Calibration of electric vehicle energy consumption models: A context-Integrated transfer bayesian optimization approach

Precise modeling of electric vehicle (EV) energy consumption is fundamental to the efficient design and management of modern transportation systems. While physics-based models offer superior interpretability, they often struggle with limited adaptability to dynamic driving conditions and heterogeneous vehicle platforms. To bridge this gap, achieving real-time and accurate calibration of physical model parameters becomes essential. This paper proposes a novel two-stage Bayesian optimization framework that integrates Contextual Bayesian Optimization (CBO) and Transfer Bayesian Optimization (TBO). In the first stage, the CBO module learns a context-aware mapping between operating conditions and physical parameters within a source domain. In the second stage, the TBO module leverages the learned prior knowledge to achieve rapid adaptation to a target vehicle domain with minimal data requirements. We evaluate the proposed framework using real-world datasets from BMW i3 and Tesla Model 3. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed framework achieves a per-second WMAPE of 17.27% in cross-condition scenarios. For cross-vehicle transfer, the primary out-of-sample evaluation on the held-out 70% of the Tesla trips yields a WMAPE of 24.82% and a total energy error of 12.65%. The CBO results further demonstrate rapid convergence under a limited online evaluation budget. This research provides a scalable and sample-efficient solution for high-fidelity energy modeling across diverse driving conditions and vehicle platforms.