Empirical analysis reveals that rising interest rates compress credit spreads via life insurer balance sheet duration mismatches, indicating institutional risk capacity drives corporate borrowing...
This paper proposes a new channel through which long-term interest rates transmit to credit spreads. When life insurers carry negative duration gaps, higher rates reduce their liabilities more than assets. Rate increases therefore boost equity and risk-bearing capacity, lowering equilibrium credit spreads. Empirically, I test this channel with bond-level yields and a maturity-based discontinuity in bond ownership. Insurers’ trades confirm the mechanism: after rates rise, insurers shift portfolios towards riskier, high-yield bonds. As rates increase, bonds more heavily held by life insurers experience greater spread reductions. The results show that institutional duration mismatch shapes credit spreads and corporate financing conditions. (JEL G12, G22, G23, E50)
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Ziang Li (2026) studied this question.
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