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September 3, 2026The Lancet Global HealthOpen Access

Hypoxaemia and mortality in children with lower respiratory infection in low-income and middle-income countries: systematic review and meta-analysis

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Authors

NHNadia E HoekstraUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel HillKJKristen S JosephJohns Hopkins UniversityHSHolly B. SchuhJohns Hopkins University

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Overview

Systematic review and meta-analysis finds significantly increased mortality from hypoxaemia in young children with respiratory infections, highlighting the need to treat milder oxygen deficits.

Key Points

  • To update global risk estimates of the association between hypoxaemia and mortality in children younger than 5 years with lower respiratory infections in LMICs across multiple SpO2 thresholds.
  • Searched six biomedical databases from January 1, 2015, to June 18, 2025, combining 26 new studies with 18 studies from a prior 2015 systematic review.
  • Included 33 studies evaluating 155,633 children younger than 5 years across Africa and Asia in a random-effects meta-analysis (PROSPERO CRD42023433946).
  • Hypoxaemia at any threshold was associated with significantly increased odds of mortality compared with normal oxygen saturation (OR 4.36, 95% CI 3.52–5.39; I² 64–85%).
  • Mortality was markedly higher for SpO2 <90% versus 90–100% (OR 4.75, 95% CI 3.42–6.58) and was also more than doubled for mild hypoxaemia with SpO2 90–94% versus 95–100% (OR 2.27, 95% CI 1.22–4.25).

Cite This Study

Hoekstra et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a9935b1636c6408cfa7e1f1https://doi.org/10.1016/j.langlo.2026.104031
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