Climate Changes and Socio-Economic Sustainability: A Case Study of the Roman Province of Dalmatia
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Overview
Historical analysis shows climate-driven hydrological failures caused societal collapse in ancient Dalmatia, highlighting how fragile water networks undermine civilizational sustainability.
Key Points
To examine the relationships between climate variation, water management infrastructure, and socio-economic sustainability in ancient Dalmatia from 350 BCE to 900 CE.
Applied a thermodynamic conceptual framework to model dynamic interactions between societal development and water dependency.
Evaluated the impact of external climatic shocks, such as solar radiation and volcanic-induced cooling, alongside internal institutional water management capacity.
Abrupt climate pattern shifts and volcanic cooling triggered severe hydrological instability that exceeded the regulatory competence of local water managers.
Collapse of municipal water networks and dissipative structures directly caused food shortages, disease outbreaks, armed conflict, and large-scale city abandonment.