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September 5, 2026Journal of Exposure Science & Environmental EpidemiologyOpen Access

No one is immune: neighborhood trends and disparities in air pollution exposure in the city of Chicago during summer 2023 wildfires

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Authors

MBMercedes A. BravoALAaron LilienfeldMFMelissa Fiffer

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Overview

Interrupted time-series analysis reveals widespread fine particulate spikes with slower recovery in socioeconomically disadvantaged neighborhoods, highlighting unequal environmental burdens.

Key Points

  • To examine how temporal trends in wildfire-related PM2.5 concentrations varied across urban neighborhoods with differing demographic, socioeconomic, and health profiles.
  • Analyzed hourly PM2.5 concentrations estimated on 500-m grids across 792 census tracts grouped into nine city regions between May 1 and July 31, 2023.
  • Applied interrupted time-series models to evaluate daily 24-hour average PM2.5 levels across pre-peak (May 1–June 26), peak (June 27–June 28), and post-peak (June 29–July 31) periods.
  • Citywide 24-hour average tract-level PM2.5 concentrations rose from 14.5 μg/m³ pre-peak to 99.7 μg/m³ during the peak wildfire smoke period, before declining to 16.6 μg/m³ post-peak.
  • Baseline PM2.5 was 1.09 to 2.23 μg/m³ lower in northern and central regions with higher socioeconomic status than in southern regions, although northern regions exhibited higher concentrations during the 2-day peak (differences of 1.81 to 2.29 μg/m³ versus the Southwest Side).
  • Following the peak period, PM2.5 concentrations in southern, lower-socioeconomic regions declined more slowly compared to northern and central areas.

Cite This Study

Bravo et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a9bd4346b95aff0620ebb6fhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41370-026-00956-6
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